Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 311.958048 354.316119 401.755317 459.094667 526.883462 604.915406 702.173622
2025-02-02 261.093887 319.268738 390.754868 486.241999 612.256584 775.473670 1007.234095
2025-02-09 224.953178 288.018151 370.195547 487.361847 653.894528 888.140621 1253.952796
2025-02-16 195.242348 258.751447 345.272708 475.029489 670.643128 964.935102 1462.850609
2025-02-23 173.567885 236.694276 325.951733 465.692504 687.391979 1041.425248 1685.828707
2025-03-02 161.829120 226.769238 321.924795 477.273242 736.538518 1176.351533 2040.186859
2025-03-09 149.235313 213.917118 311.575747 476.804310 764.926686 1280.505551 2365.555227
2025-03-16 136.480773 199.372337 296.747018 466.571558 774.128944 1350.900050 2642.469738
2025-03-23 127.853666 190.297864 289.428903 467.674062 803.173150 1463.662758 3043.350901
2025-03-30 118.226066 178.703939 276.724471 457.534380 809.170848 1531.006300 3360.467293
2025-04-06 111.237103 170.759886 269.267612 455.758178 830.843535 1635.185305 3803.795599
2025-04-13 101.686074 157.803054 252.052147 433.807419 808.305597 1637.325786 3977.430853
2025-04-20 99.388264 157.064143 256.357470 453.931334 878.233853 1870.935798 4911.664696
2025-04-27 98.059989 157.882727 263.537764 480.764722 968.221671 2179.047836 6242.075973
2025-05-04 93.346050 152.323715 258.429382 481.863495 999.826569 2345.852352 7193.903609
2025-05-11 87.412833 144.127292 247.633269 469.702617 997.883159 2420.950244 7852.296347
2025-05-18 82.375978 137.207369 238.694936 460.494387 1001.717475 2514.142712 8642.275219
2025-05-25 80.109052 135.222709 239.144865 471.915296 1059.796733 2786.481045 10393.321282
2025-06-01 76.725503 130.897110 234.574518 471.452854 1086.761413 2970.222127 11881.310990
2025-06-08 72.625222 124.940041 226.242716 461.361343 1085.960810 3062.828477 12984.800326
2025-06-15 69.934264 121.518708 222.821422 462.448664 1116.682968 3274.579381 14944.705091
2025-06-22 66.398518 116.235505 215.138510 452.448307 1113.910923 3365.746075 16278.506070
2025-06-29 63.854848 112.754795 210.995007 450.696438 1135.412092 3556.457379 18473.383518